Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.265833 2.396338 2.538020 2.704778 2.897763 3.116818 3.388474
2025-08-31 2.120224 2.282184 2.465412 2.691777 2.969657 3.308276 3.767678
2025-09-07 2.037813 2.221467 2.435624 2.710237 3.063840 3.522029 4.198691
2025-09-14 1.920513 2.107375 2.328761 2.618408 3.001485 3.516110 4.317788
2025-09-21 1.862329 2.058604 2.295359 2.612400 3.045278 3.653374 4.669498
2025-09-28 1.794138 1.992743 2.235157 2.564875 3.025033 3.692398 4.868432
2025-10-05 1.777675 1.989144 2.252065 2.618669 3.149009 3.961203 5.539082
2025-10-12 1.772402 1.998454 2.284967 2.695223 3.312830 4.321079 6.545950
2025-10-19 1.734346 1.963538 2.257061 2.683543 3.340228 4.453794 7.125838
2025-10-26 1.705578 1.939141 2.241511 2.687688 3.391671 4.637486 7.950715
2025-11-02 1.660179 1.891162 2.191675 2.638299 3.351136 4.639021 8.253564
2025-11-09 1.625202 1.855698 2.157409 2.609816 3.342387 4.701619 8.807371
2025-11-16 1.593751 1.825186 2.130460 2.593410 3.357175 4.825336 9.759081
2025-11-23 1.566369 1.799014 2.108199 2.582353 3.379453 4.969272 11.019080
2025-11-30 1.550188 1.787095 2.105041 2.599870 3.453046 5.245080 13.614459
2025-12-07 1.503291 1.732323 2.039368 2.516456 3.336718 5.049476 12.846457
2025-12-14 1.483142 1.713335 2.023951 2.511389 3.364067 5.210990 15.183428
2025-12-21 1.452362 1.679070 1.985604 2.468133 3.316869 5.177262 15.869180
2025-12-28 1.451081 1.684987 2.004959 2.517812 3.449608 5.647079 26.664844
2026-01-04 1.455464 1.698685 2.035941 2.588188 3.632276 6.346039 6732.650874
2026-01-11 1.437188 1.680292 2.018971 2.577730 3.649374 6.540720 NaN
2026-01-18 1.423657 1.668172 2.010859 2.581714 3.697210 6.863633 NaN
2026-01-25 1.397688 1.638002 1.974946 2.536626 3.635682 6.767274 NaN